Tuesday, July 31, 2007

DAN RODRICKS OF THE BALTIMORE SUN IS A NUMBSKULL

Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun predicts the Red Sox are going to "choke" and lose the division to the Yankees. OK, fine, Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun. The team with the best record in baseball is going to blow the biggest lead in any division in baseball.

Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun further predicts the Red Sox will choke so badly that they won't even make the playoffs. Baseball Prospectus disagrees. Baseball Prospectus says the Sox have a 96% chance of winning the division and a 98.8% chance to make the playoffs. Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun disagrees with Baseball Prospectus. Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun disagrees with numbers. He doesn't understand numbers like Joe Morgan does.

I bet you thought Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun was done making asinine predictions. Boy were you wrong. Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun wasn't done. Far from it. Having ventured off to the far tip of a small branch carting his brick collection, Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun says the Baltimore Orioles are going to pass the Red Sox. The Orioles are currently 13.5 games behind Boston. Its one thing to blow a seven game lead to a $200 million all-star collection, but blowing a 13.5 game lead to Baltimore?

There are 56 games left in the season for Boston. If they go 28-28 from here on in they'll finish 92-70. For the Orioles to finish 93-69, they'll have to go 43-14 the rest of the way. Thats a .754 winning percentage. When
Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun makes a prediction, much like the Orioles, he doesn't like to win.

Baseball Prospectus estimates that the Orioles have a 0.7% chance to make the playoffs. Thats 98.1% less than the choking Red Sox. Although in fairness to Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun, he doesn't say the Orioles will make the playoffs. Thank God. I was thinking he might be going too far out on a limb.

O
ther things that Dan Rodricks of the Baltimore Sun predicts:

1. The NBA will openly sell officials to the highest bidder before each game!
2. George W. Bush will run for re-election! And win!
3. The NFL will work with Michael Vick to start the National Dog Fighting League (NDFL)!
4. Barry Bonds will retire before breaking Hank Aaron's record out of respect!
5.
The Devil Rays will win the World Series this year!

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